Bitcoin to set about with its hesitant momentum. As a bleak first quarter draws to a close, crypto seems to have the wind in its sails. It has pushed through the $2 trillion barriers and is proving surprisingly resilient amid global chaos. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency internationally, traded higher on Tuesday, rising 0.71 percent to $47,566.68 as of 8:00 a.m. Riyadh time.
Ether, the second most traded cryptocurrency, was priced at $3,394.58 up by 1.86 percent, according to data from Coindesk.
At Monday’s high of $47,765, market leader bitcoin broke above the narrow $34,000-$44,000 range it’s traded in for most of 2022. Through a steady grind higher from a low just above $40,000 on March 21, it has gained 18 percent.
Its comparative steadiness, versus previous performance at least, contrasts with stock markets, traditional currencies and even safe-haven gold, which have been shaken by the Russian invasion of Ukraine as well as the Federal Reserve’s tightening.
Bitcoin’s jumpiness has waned of late.
Its 30-day volatility is around 4 percent, about two-thirds the level it was in June 2021, according to futures trading platform Coinglass. The highest this year was 4.56 percent on March 16.
This measures its deviation from its own standard levels, and bitcoin has still had wild swings, such as a 17 percent jump on March 1. But it’s distinctly tamer than in 2021 when it could move as much as 40 percent in a day.
By comparison, the tech-heavy Nasdaq has whipsawed 5-6 percent on numerous days in 2022, and was down 20 percent for the year as of March 14, before it rallied to cut half that loss.
“The largest conflict we’ve seen in Europe since World War Two has really rocked global markets,” said Pierce Crosby, General Manager at charting platform TradingView in New York.
“What we have seen across other major assets is a huge fallout — from both the US equity markets as well as global markets,” he added. “Bitcoin has more or less stayed in a pretty tight range … but actually, in terms of the relative strength, it’s very bullish.”
$2 TRILLION CRYPTO
The total value of the cryptocurrency market rose above $2 trillion on Friday, according to analytics platform CoinMarketCap. To put that in context, the market briefly hit $3 trillion on Nov. 10, when bitcoin reached $69,000.
The meandering climb back above $2 trillion has been slow and has also been helped by a mushrooming in coins and tokens — the number CoinMarketCap counts have risen by almost 5,000 since November to stand at 18,511 cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin’s market capitalization has reached $902 billion, but it still has a ways to go to reclaim the $1 trillion it commanded in November. While still the dominant crypto, its market share has also fallen gradually from as much as 70 percent of the total capitalization in early 2021 to 42 percent now.
WHAT is in the forthcoming?
Many crypto investors have thought they could divine bitcoin’s direction before the fickle cryptocurrency left them sprawled in the financial dust.
“Although bitcoin is remaining strong in the short term, rising oil prices increase the likelihood of a recession over the coming year or so,” said Marcus Sotiriou, an analyst at UK-based digital asset broker GlobalBlock.
“Oil has increased by around 25 percent in the past six days alone, and bitcoin bulls will want to see this tail off for continued strength.”
That said, certain other technical factors are pointing to bitcoin’s bullishness.
Funding rates, which measure the cost of holding bitcoin via futures, have turned marginally positive after being negative for most of this year, indicating investors are prepared to pay to belong. It stands at 0.003 percent on the analytics platform CryptoQuant, though still below a peak of 0.06 percent hit in October.
Coinglass’s longs-to-shorts ratio has also climbed from 0.95 on March 20 to 1.1, the highest level in at least four weeks.
The high expectations of the investors
Blockchain data provider Chainalysis said an increasing proportion of bitcoin – nearly 60 percent of total supply – was being held for longer than 52 weeks, up from 54.72 percent in the last 25 weeks.
Yet Ashwath Balakrishnan, vice president of research at Delphi Digital in Bengaluru, cautioned that it was difficult to identify a lasting market direction.
“Everyone’s a little cautious,” he said. “If (bitcoin) rejects off of $46k and goes back down then it probably means we’re stuck with range-bound conditions for at least another month or so.”
Today Bitcoin drops a bit
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency internationally, traded lower on March 30, dropping by 0.69 percent to $47,261.40 as of 8:00 a.m. Riyadh time.
Ether, the second most traded cryptocurrency, was priced at $3,381.01, down by 0.55 percent, according to data from Coindesk.
Bitcoin rose by 12 percent last week
On March 29, Bitcoin held ground just below its record high for the year, touched a day earlier. The gains for the original cryptocurrency have topped 27 percent since Russia invaded Ukraine.
In the past two years, institutional investors and financial companies have been increasingly interested in crypto, fueling the transformation of crypto from a niche technology to a mainstream asset.
Over the last week alone, Bitcoin has risen by over 12 percent.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are now being compared to traditional assets, including stocks, foreign exchange, and bonds, but their volatility remains the same.
In November, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $69,000 before plunging almost 30 percent in just 24 days.
Dubai school to accept fees in crypto
Dubai-based Citizens School will accept cryptocurrencies as a mode of payment for tuition fees when it opens in September.
The UK curriculum school, designed and developed by Al Zarooni Emirates Investments, would be the first educational institute in the Middle East to allow the use of cryptocurrencies.
The move by Citizen School to accept Bitcoin and Ether follows the creation of a virtual asset law by the Dubai Government, which ensures investors are protected, and a legal framework is established.
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